Which GTA VI rumours came true? Every rumour, graded

GTA VI has drawn more rumours than any game in years, and on 19 November most of them meet the finished thing. More than a third have already been settled.

Verdict: Confirmed, Very High confidence, for the 34 grades already settled: each one rests on what Rockstar, Take-Two or the platform holders have said or done since. Of the 90 GTA VI rumours we track, 12 came true, 16 were wrong and 6 were partly right. The other 56 are open: most settle on 19 November, a few not until 2027. Calls about the delays did best: Kotaku, Bloomberg's Jason Schreier and BillsyLiamGTA all called the slip to 2026. Dates for trailers did worst: every day or month named for Trailer 2 or Trailer 3 on our record missed.

How are GTA VI rumours graded here?

Against what happened, on the official record. We state each call as it was made, hedges included, with who made it and when. Right means Rockstar, Take-Two, Sony or Microsoft have since confirmed it; wrong means their own statements or listings contradict it; partly right means one part held and another didn't; open means nothing has settled it yet, and the tables say when it should.

We name insiders, reporters, outlets, analysts and companies by the names they use in public, and a leaker only by its own handle. Fans, anonymous posters and private individuals stay unnamed. A grade is about the call, not the person who made it, and a tally is a count, not a verdict. If one of these calls is yours and we've stated it unfairly, we'll check it and correct it on the record.

Which GTA VI rumours came true?

Twelve so far, most of them about the delays and the price, in the order the calls were made.

The delay calls stand out. Rockstar's public window was fall 2025 until 2 May 2025, and three origins had called the slip months before that. Kotaku's sources had 2026 as the fallback in March 2024. BillsyLiamGTA posted in September 2024 that early-to-mid 2026 was already decided, when Schreier's six Rockstar contacts hadn't heard of any delay; the window proved right, though whether the decision was really made that early was never confirmed. And Schreier himself said in December 2024 he'd be shocked if it didn't slip, as his own judgement rather than a sourced report.

Which GTA VI rumours were wrong?

Sixteen. Timing is the biggest group: nine of them guessed when Rockstar would do something, and six of those were about trailers.

Two of these weren't calls so much as misreadings or fakes: the 676.7 GB screenshot was a joke its creator owned up to, and the "banned" list was never about bans. The fastest to settle was The Verge's: Xbox's Matthew Ball answered it within five hours, and The Verge corrected its story.

Which GTA VI rumours were partly right?

Six, where one part held and another didn't.

Who called GTA VI right?

Counting only the names behind more than one call on our record, here is how their calls stand today. Read it as a count of settled calls, with the dates in mind: a call made three years out is harder than one made three weeks out.

NateTheHate's two open calls settle soonest: review copies out by the end of October, and the game arriving in November as planned.

What did RockstarINTEL get right and wrong?

We found many of the calls on this page in RockstarINTEL's archive of more than 400 GTA VI articles, so the site's own calls are graded here like everyone else's. Its best: in January 2026, eight months before Rockstar announced it, RockstarINTEL expected a collector's box without the game, as Rockstar had sold for Red Dead Redemption 2. It also backed Bloomberg's December trailer report from its own sources in November 2023.

Its misses were mostly prices and dates: $70 instead of $79.99, a disc at launch, and Trailer 2 in late 2024. Three calls were half right, among them its May 2026 doubt that GTA VI would be Game Informer's next cover: that issue went to another game, but Rockstar gave the magazine a cover story in September.

Which GTA VI rumours settle before launch?

Nine, starting with the review copies at the end of October.

What will GTA VI's launch day settle?

Twenty-two calls that anyone with the game can check on 19 November.

Which GTA VI rumours settle after launch?

Twenty, from the disc question at the end of December to sales figures in 2027.

Five more may never be settled: that GTA VI cost more than $2 billion to make (messages attributed to the 2022 Rockstar hacker, September 2022; Rockstar denies it, but has published no figure), that $200-300 million went on water physics (VGT Gaming News on X, June 2026), that a DJ modelled for the cover art (fans, June 2026), that Rockstar paid a fan about $2,000 for a Gloriana web domain (a domain owner's post, January 2026), and that the leaker CyberLeek has been arrested (social media posts, August 2026).

So how reliable are GTA VI rumours?

As reliable as what's behind them. Of the 34 calls settled so far, 12 were right, 6 partly right and 16 wrong. The ones that held mostly reported something already decided inside Rockstar or Take-Two: a delay, a price, a preview, a box. The ones that failed mostly guessed when Rockstar would do something: nine of the 16 were about timing. The 56 still open are graded one by one in the briefings that cover them, and on our rumour tracker. This page moves each into its column as it settles.

What changes this: Each open call's settle date: review copies by 31 October, the download size at pre-loading on 12 November, the Discord campaign on 17 November and 22 calls on launch day, 19 November; then the disc question at the end of December and the PC window by 31 March 2027. We'll update this page as each one lands, daily in launch week.